| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 45.3% | 53% | -8.0% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or draw | 74.2% | 80% | -5.5% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 62.2% | 71% | -8.6% | void |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.1% | 65% | -7.4% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 58.8% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 41.5% | 29.1% | 29.5% |
| xgboost | 44.1% | 28.9% | 26.9% |
| logistic | 45.6% | 29.5% | 24.9% |
| Antwerp | Lommel SK | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1506 | 1546 |
| Surface Elo | 1506 | 1546 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.60 | 1.30 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.20 | 1.10 |
| Rest days | 6 | 6 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 01 Nov | A | Cercle Brugge | 1 - 2 | L |
| 01 Nov | A | Cercle Brugge | 1 - 2 | L |
| 24 Oct | H | Charleroi | 3 - 0 | W |
| 24 Oct | H | Charleroi | 3 - 0 | W |
| 17 Oct | A | KSK Heist | 1 - 0 | W |
| 01 Nov | H | Gent | 2 - 0 | W |
| 01 Nov | H | Gent | 2 - 0 | W |
| 24 Oct | A | Oud-Heverlee Leuven | 2 - 2 | D |
| 24 Oct | A | Oud-Heverlee Leuven | 2 - 2 | D |
| 18 Oct | A | St. Truidense VV | 1 - 4 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1X2 | away | 3.90 | 25.6% | 07 Nov 19:45 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | draw | 3.60 | 27.8% | 07 Nov 19:45 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | home | 1.80 | 55.6% | 07 Nov 19:45 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.62 | 61.7% | 07 Nov 19:45 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.25 | 44.4% | 07 Nov 19:45 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.71 | 27.0% | 07 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.86 | 25.9% | 07 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.96 | 51.0% | 07 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.57 | 63.7% | 07 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.40 | 41.7% | 07 Nov 06:15 |