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Back to 🏈 NFL on 2026-11-10

NFL · Tuesday 10 November 2026, 01:15 UTC · finished

Minnesota Vikings – 6 - 23 – Buffalo Bills

NFL forecast: home/away probabilities are conditional on no tie. Full-game moneylines include overtime; ties refund. Pick publication is disabled pending validation.

Our markets (latest run)

Market	Most likely	Model	Bookmaker	Edge	Result
1X2	Home win	52.1%	40%	+12.3%	✗ miss

Model breakdown (1X2)

Model	Home	Away
ensemble	52.1%	47.9%

Inputs the models saw

	Minnesota Vikings	Buffalo Bills
playoff	0.00
elo diff	-0.09
form diff	0.12
rest diff	0.00
home field	1.00
point diff	0.10
opponent strength diff	-0.10
Information cutoff (UTC)	2026-11-09T01:15:00+00:00

Minnesota Vikings: last 5

01 Nov	A	Detroit Lions	15 - 19	L
25 Oct	H	Indianapolis Colts	16 - 10	W
11 Oct	A	New Orleans Saints	23 - 13	W
04 Oct	H	Miami Dolphins	15 - 10	W
27 Sep	A	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	23 - 16	W

Buffalo Bills: last 5

01 Nov	H	Baltimore Ravens	36 - 10	W
18 Oct	A	Las Vegas Raiders	33 - 30	W
13 Oct	A	Los Angeles Rams	37 - 34	W
04 Oct	H	New England Patriots	26 - 29	L
27 Sep	H	Los Angeles Chargers	24 - 16	W

Head to head

13 Nov 2022	Buffalo Bills	30 - 33	Minnesota Vikings
23 Sep 2018	Minnesota Vikings	6 - 27	Buffalo Bills
19 Oct 2014	Buffalo Bills	17 - 16	Minnesota Vikings
05 Dec 2010	Minnesota Vikings	38 - 14	Buffalo Bills
01 Oct 2006	Buffalo Bills	17 - 12	Minnesota Vikings
15 Sep 2002	Minnesota Vikings	39 - 45	Buffalo Bills
22 Oct 2000	Minnesota Vikings	31 - 27	Buffalo Bills

Bookmaker lines

Book	Market	Outcome	Odds	Implied	As of
Pinnacle sharp	1X2	home	2.72	36.8%	09 Nov 23:20
Pinnacle sharp	1X2	away	1.52	65.8%	09 Nov 23:20

Generated 2026-11-12 22:02 UTC