| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 63.1% | 60% | +3.6% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 69.1% | 30.9% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 56.7% | 43.2% |
| logistic | 63.6% | 36.4% |
| Maks Kasnikowski | Andres Andrade | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1640 | 1617 |
| Surface Elo | 1640 | 1617 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.88 | 2.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.38 | 1.22 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.63 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 2 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 05 Nov | H | Michael Antonius | 2 - 1 | W |
| 04 Nov | A | Liam Draxl | 2 - 0 | W |
| 02 Nov | A | Andy Andrade | 1 - 2 | L |
| 02 Nov | H | Michael Antonius | 2 - 1 | W |
| 02 Nov | A | Liam Draxl | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Nov | H | James Trotter | 2 - 1 | W |
| 03 Nov | A | Harry Wendelken | 2 - 1 | W |
| 27 Oct | A | Mitchell Krueger | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | A | Max Alcala Gurri | 0 - 2 | L |
| 02 Oct | A | Mees Rottgering | 1 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.10 | 47.6% | 06 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.68 | 59.5% | 06 Nov 06:15 |