| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 55.6% | 55% | +1.1% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 41.3% | 58.7% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 49.2% | 50.7% |
| logistic | 42.5% | 57.5% |
| Braden Shick | Gabriel Debru | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1529 | 1621 |
| Surface Elo | 1529 | 1621 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.60 |
| Season points per game | 1.20 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.40 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 20 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 19 Oct | H | Gabriel Debru | 1 - 2 | L |
| 30 Sep | H | Mees Rottgering | 0 - 2 | L |
| 28 Sep | H | Ozan Baris | 2 - 1 | W |
| 28 Sep | H | Mees Rottgering | 0 - 2 | L |
| 28 Sep | H | Ozan Baris | 2 - 1 | W |
| 19 Oct | H | Jenson Brooksby | 1 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | A | Erik Arutiunian | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | A | Alex Rybakov | 2 - 1 | W |
| 19 Oct | A | Braden Shick | 2 - 1 | W |
| 13 Oct | H | Micah Braswell | 1 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct 2026 | Braden Shick | 1 - 2 | Gabriel Debru |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.82 | 54.9% | 20 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.92 | 52.1% | 20 Oct 06:15 |