OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-11-07
🇩🇪 Bundesliga · Saturday 07 November 2026, 17:30 UTC · finished
Stuttgart 1.20 1 - 0 2.20 Werder Bremen
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 55.0%57%-2.0%✓ hit
DCHome or draw 79.8%79%+0.4%✓ hit
DNBHome (DNB) 72.6%73%-0.1%✓ hit
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 65.4%75%-9.3%✗ miss
BTTSBTTS yes 65.7%no line✗ miss
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson61.1%20.6%18.3%
xgboost49.3%28.3%22.3%
logistic54.3%24.8%20.9%
Inputs the models saw
StuttgartWerder Bremen
Elo (pre-match)16811605
Surface Elo16811605
Form, last 5 (PPG)1.202.20
Form trend-0.30-0.20
Season points per game1.131.88
Season goals for / game1.752.13
Season goals against / game1.881.75
Rest days77
Head-to-head (last 10)4 W3 W · 3 D
Stuttgart: last 5
03 NovAGalatasaray0 - 2L
31 OctABayer Leverkusen4 - 2W
31 OctABayer Leverkusen4 - 2W
31 OctADuisburg3 - 3D
28 OctAPaderborn1 - 0W
Werder Bremen: last 5
31 OctHHoffenheim2 - 0W
31 OctHHoffenheim2 - 0W
27 OctABorussia Dortmund2 - 3L
24 OctAMainz3 - 2W
24 OctAMainz3 - 2W
Head to head
26 Apr 2026Stuttgart1 - 1Werder Bremen
14 Dec 2025Werder Bremen0 - 4Stuttgart
13 Apr 2025Stuttgart1 - 2Werder Bremen
30 Nov 2024Werder Bremen2 - 2Stuttgart
21 Apr 2024Werder Bremen2 - 1Stuttgart
02 Dec 2023Stuttgart2 - 0Werder Bremen
05 Feb 2023Stuttgart0 - 2Werder Bremen
13 Aug 2022Werder Bremen2 - 2Stuttgart
04 Apr 2021Stuttgart1 - 0Werder Bremen
06 Dec 2020Werder Bremen1 - 2Stuttgart
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
Bet3651X2away3.7526.7%07 Nov 17:30
Bet3651X2draw4.2023.8%07 Nov 17:30
Bet3651X2home1.8055.6%07 Nov 17:30
Bet365O/U 2.5over1.3673.5%07 Nov 17:30
Bet365O/U 2.5under3.2031.2%07 Nov 17:30
SportyBet1X2away3.8426.0%07 Nov 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw4.4522.5%07 Nov 06:15
SportyBet1X2home1.8753.5%07 Nov 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.3574.1%07 Nov 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under3.3330.0%07 Nov 06:15
Generated 2026-11-12 22:04 UTC