OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-11-08
⚽ Italy Serie A · Sunday 08 November 2026, 19:45 UTC · finished
Fiorentina 0.80 2 - 2 1.40 Juventus
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Away win 46.2%no line✗ miss
DCHome or away 74.9%no line✗ miss
DNBAway (DNB) 60.8%no linevoid
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 53.6%no line✓ hit
BTTSBTTS yes 55.9%no line✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson29.3%27.7%43.0%
xgboost30.5%23.4%46.1%
logistic28.7%26.2%45.1%
Inputs the models saw
FiorentinaJuventus
Elo (pre-match)16321765
Surface Elo16321765
Form, last 5 (PPG)0.801.40
Form trend-0.70-0.40
Season points per game0.801.40
Season goals for / game1.801.00
Season goals against / game2.201.20
Rest days67
Head-to-head (last 10)3 W4 W · 3 D
Fiorentina: last 5
02 NovASassuolo4 - 2W
02 NovASassuolo4 - 2W
29 OctHAtalanta2 - 2D
29 OctHAtalanta2 - 2D
25 OctAInter1 - 2L
Juventus: last 5
05 NovAAZ Alkmaar2 - 1W
01 NovHNapoli2 - 0W
01 NovHNapoli2 - 0W
28 OctAGenoa0 - 2L
28 OctAGenoa0 - 2L
Head to head
17 May 2026Juventus0 - 2Fiorentina
22 Nov 2025Fiorentina1 - 1Juventus
16 Mar 2025Fiorentina3 - 0Juventus
29 Dec 2024Juventus2 - 2Fiorentina
07 Apr 2024Juventus1 - 0Fiorentina
05 Nov 2023Fiorentina0 - 1Juventus
12 Feb 2023Juventus1 - 0Fiorentina
03 Sep 2022Fiorentina1 - 1Juventus
21 May 2022Fiorentina2 - 0Juventus
06 Nov 2021Juventus1 - 0Fiorentina
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
No bookmaker lines stored.
Generated 2026-11-12 22:01 UTC