OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-11-14
⚽ England League Two · Saturday 14 November 2026, 15:00 UTC · scheduled
Shrewsbury 1.40 15:00 1.40 Oldham
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 41.4%38%+2.9%
DCHome or away 72.4%76%-3.9%
DNBHome (DNB) 56.6%53%+3.3%
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 52.3%53%-0.4%
BTTSBTTS yes 52.9%no line
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson29.3%29.5%41.1%
xgboost43.3%28.8%27.9%
logistic45.9%28.2%25.9%
Inputs the models saw
ShrewsburyOldham
Elo (pre-match)13821413
Surface Elo13821413
Form, last 5 (PPG)1.401.40
Form trend0.200.00
Season points per game1.501.00
Season goals for / game1.630.88
Season goals against / game1.501.50
Rest days1410
Head-to-head (last 10)3 W0 W · 1 D
Shrewsbury: last 5
07 NovAEastleigh2 - 1W
31 OctHGillingham1 - 2L
31 OctHGillingham1 - 2L
27 OctHEverton2 - 1W
24 OctARotherham3 - 3D
Oldham: last 5
11 NovABarnsley2 - 5L
08 NovHSheffield Weds1 - 1D
03 NovANorthampton1 - 0W
03 NovANorthampton1 - 0W
31 OctHCrawley Town0 - 1L
Head to head
11 Apr 2026Shrewsbury1 - 0Oldham
25 Oct 2025Oldham2 - 2Shrewsbury
01 Jan 2018Shrewsbury1 - 0Oldham
16 Sep 2017Oldham1 - 2Shrewsbury
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away2.6537.7%12 Nov 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw3.4029.4%12 Nov 06:15
SportyBet1X2home2.6038.5%12 Nov 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.9052.6%12 Nov 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under1.8454.4%12 Nov 06:15
Generated 2026-11-12 21:43 UTC