| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 40.4% | 54% | -14.0% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or away | 75.9% | 80% | -3.9% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 52.6% | 74% | -21.0% | ✗ miss |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.1% | 54% | -1.1% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 55.4% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 50.0% | 25.2% | 24.8% |
| xgboost | 35.1% | 27.2% | 37.7% |
| logistic | 25.8% | 21.1% | 53.1% |
| Umraniyespor | Kayserispor | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1445 | 1487 |
| Surface Elo | 1445 | 1487 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| Form trend | 0.20 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 2.00 | 2.33 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.50 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 1249 | 174 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 1 W · 1 D |
| 01 Nov | A | Bodrum FK | 1 - 1 | D |
| 28 Oct | H | Kucukcekmece Sinop Spor AS | 1 - 1 | D |
| 24 Oct | H | Sivasspor | 4 - 0 | W |
| 18 Oct | A | Van Spor FK | 2 - 0 | W |
| 09 Oct | H | Sariyer SK | 1 - 1 | D |
| 02 Nov | H | Muglaspor | 6 - 0 | W |
| 29 Oct | A | Bitlis Ozguzelderespor | 1 - 4 | L |
| 25 Oct | A | Pendikspor | 2 - 2 | D |
| 18 Oct | H | Batman Petrolspor | 2 - 2 | D |
| 14 Oct | A | Antalyaspor | 4 - 0 | W |
| 10 Apr 2023 | Kayserispor | 3 - 1 | Umraniyespor |
| 09 Oct 2022 | Umraniyespor | 2 - 2 | Kayserispor |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.82 | 54.9% | 08 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.60 | 27.8% | 08 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 4.10 | 24.4% | 08 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.86 | 53.8% | 08 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.91 | 52.4% | 08 Nov 06:15 |