| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 52.5% | 56% | -4.0% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 46.6% | 53.4% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 46.8% | 53.1% |
| logistic | 51.4% | 48.6% |
| Arthur Bouquier | Maximilian Marterer | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1626 | 1608 |
| Surface Elo | 1626 | 1608 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Rest days | 1 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 21 Oct | A | Niels Visker | 2 - 0 | W |
| 23 Feb | H | Laurent Lokoli | 1 - 2 | L |
| 23 Feb | H | Jacob Fearnley | 2 - 0 | W |
| 16 Feb | H | Kimmer Coppejans | 2 - 1 | W |
| 16 Feb | A | Alexander Blockx | 0 - 2 | L |
| 20 Oct | H | Tom Paris | 2 - 0 | W |
| 18 Aug | A | Christoph Negritu | 1 - 2 | L |
| 26 May | A | Adam Walton | 2 - 3 | L |
| 13 Jan | A | Edas Butvilas | 1 - 2 | L |
| 04 Nov | A | Max Hans Rehberg | 0 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.77 | 56.5% | 22 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.94 | 51.5% | 22 Oct 06:15 |