| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 72.3% | 71% | +0.8% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 76.9% | 23.1% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 82.5% | 17.4% |
| logistic | 65.6% | 34.4% |
| Mirra Andreeva | Nikola Bartunkova | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1885 | 1735 |
| Surface Elo | 1885 | 1735 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | -0.60 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 2.50 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.67 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.50 | 0.25 |
| Rest days | 1 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 08 Oct | A | Ekaterina Alexandrova | 2 - 0 | W |
| 06 Oct | A | Daria Snigur | 2 - 0 | W |
| 04 Oct | A | Polina Kudermetova | 2 - 0 | W |
| 02 Oct | A | Yue Yuan | 2 - 1 | W |
| 30 Sep | H | Qinwen Zheng | 0 - 2 | L |
| 08 Oct | A | Karolina Muchova | 2 - 0 | W |
| 06 Oct | A | Sinja Kraus | 2 - 1 | W |
| 04 Oct | H | Aryna Sabalenka | 2 - 0 | W |
| 02 Oct | H | Magdalena Frech | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Sep | A | Mirra Andreeva | 0 - 2 | L |
| 30 Sep 2026 | Mirra Andreeva | 2 - 0 | Nikola Bartunkova |
| 30 Aug 2026 | Mirra Andreeva | 2 - 0 | Nikola Bartunkova |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.10 | 32.3% | 10 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.40 | 71.4% | 10 Oct 06:15 |