| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 39.9% | 41% | -0.9% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or away | 72.8% | 73% | -0.2% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 53.9% | 59% | -5.0% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 53.5% | 63% | -9.2% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS no | 51.5% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 33.0% | 30.3% | 36.7% |
| xgboost | 42.3% | 27.1% | 30.6% |
| logistic | 37.6% | 28.9% | 33.5% |
| Boulogne | Annecy | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1394 | 1478 |
| Surface Elo | 1394 | 1478 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 1.25 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 7 | 6 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 1 W · 1 D |
| 30 Oct | A | Stade Lavallois MFC | 0 - 1 | L |
| 30 Oct | A | Laval | 0 - 1 | L |
| 26 Oct | H | Reims | 1 - 1 | D |
| 16 Oct | A | Grenoble | 2 - 0 | W |
| 16 Oct | A | Grenoble | 2 - 0 | W |
| 31 Oct | H | Montpellier | 0 - 3 | L |
| 31 Oct | H | Montpellier | 0 - 3 | L |
| 23 Oct | A | Sochaux | 3 - 1 | W |
| 23 Oct | A | Sochaux | 3 - 1 | W |
| 16 Oct | H | Nancy | 1 - 2 | L |
| 02 May 2026 | Boulogne | 1 - 2 | Annecy |
| 31 Oct 2025 | Annecy | 1 - 1 | Boulogne |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.10 | 32.3% | 06 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.10 | 32.3% | 06 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.45 | 40.8% | 06 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 2.30 | 43.5% | 06 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.59 | 62.9% | 06 Nov 06:15 |