| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 53.4% | 65% | -11.5% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 47.3% | 52.7% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 42.4% | 57.5% |
| logistic | 53.7% | 46.3% |
| Kimmer Coppejans | Andrea Guerrieri | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1640 | 1622 |
| Surface Elo | 1640 | 1622 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 2.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.33 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.67 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 4 | 3 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 13 Oct | H | Vilius Gaubas | 0 - 1 | L |
| 12 Oct | H | Vilius Gaubas | 0 - 2 | L |
| 08 Oct | H | Stefanos Tsitsipas | 0 - 2 | L |
| 08 Oct | H | Stefanos Tsitsipas | 0 - 2 | L |
| 06 Oct | A | Dane Sweeny | 2 - 0 | W |
| 14 Oct | H | Maks Kasnikowski | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | H | Abdullah Shelbayh | 1 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Maks Kasnikowski | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | Abdullah Shelbayh | 2 - 0 | W |
| 01 Oct | A | August Holmgren | 0 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.54 | 64.9% | 17 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.55 | 39.2% | 17 Oct 06:15 |