| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 44.0% | 41% | +2.8% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or away | 75.1% | 78% | -2.8% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 55.2% | 56% | -0.6% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58.9% | 63% | -4.4% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 57.7% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 42.3% | 25.8% | 31.9% |
| xgboost | 38.1% | 26.8% | 35.2% |
| logistic | 36.6% | 29.4% | 34.1% |
| Blackpool | Milton Keynes Dons | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1479 | 1516 |
| Surface Elo | 1479 | 1516 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.20 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.10 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 0.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.67 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.33 | 3.00 |
| Rest days | 3 | 3 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 3 W | 1 W · 1 D |
| 17 Oct | A | Leyton Orient | 0 - 2 | L |
| 17 Oct | A | Leyton Orient | 0 - 2 | L |
| 10 Oct | A | Cambridge | 0 - 1 | L |
| 10 Oct | A | Cambridge | 0 - 1 | L |
| 06 Oct | H | Crewe | 2 - 2 | D |
| 17 Oct | H | Luton | 2 - 1 | W |
| 17 Oct | H | Luton | 2 - 1 | W |
| 10 Oct | H | Reading | 1 - 5 | L |
| 10 Oct | H | Reading | 1 - 5 | L |
| 06 Oct | H | Brentford | 7 - 1 | W |
| 09 Mar 2021 | Milton Keynes Dons | 0 - 1 | Blackpool |
| 24 Oct 2020 | Blackpool | 1 - 0 | Milton Keynes Dons |
| 14 Sep 2019 | Blackpool | 0 - 3 | Milton Keynes Dons |
| 24 Mar 2018 | Milton Keynes Dons | 0 - 0 | Blackpool |
| 12 Aug 2017 | Blackpool | 1 - 0 | Milton Keynes Dons |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.70 | 37.0% | 20 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.60 | 27.8% | 20 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.45 | 40.8% | 20 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.60 | 62.5% | 20 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.30 | 43.5% | 20 Oct 06:15 |