| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 43.7% | 45% | -1.3% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or away | 73.4% | 76% | -2.8% | ✗ miss |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 56.1% | 63% | -7.0% | void |
| O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 52.2% | 53% | -0.8% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 53.1% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 40.2% | 29.0% | 30.7% |
| xgboost | 35.2% | 30.7% | 34.1% |
| logistic | 40.0% | 28.9% | 31.1% |
| Cesena | Avellino | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1401 | 1465 |
| Surface Elo | 1401 | 1465 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| Form trend | 0.60 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.17 | 1.67 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.17 | 1.83 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.33 | 1.17 |
| Rest days | 8 | 8 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 2 W | 1 W · 1 D |
| 10 Oct | A | Benevento | 0 - 2 | L |
| 10 Oct | A | Benevento | 0 - 2 | L |
| 18 Sep | A | Juve Stabia | 1 - 1 | D |
| 12 Sep | H | Cremonese | 2 - 2 | D |
| 06 Sep | H | Mantova | 1 - 1 | D |
| 09 Oct | H | Sampdoria | 4 - 1 | W |
| 09 Oct | H | Sampdoria Genoa | 4 - 1 | W |
| 20 Sep | H | Latina Calcio | 3 - 1 | W |
| 19 Sep | A | Ascoli | 1 - 3 | L |
| 19 Sep | A | Ascoli | 1 - 3 | L |
| 31 Jan 2026 | Avellino | 3 - 1 | Cesena |
| 09 Nov 2025 | Cesena | 3 - 0 | Avellino |
| 10 Feb 2018 | Avellino | 1 - 1 | Cesena |
| 15 Sep 2017 | Cesena | 3 - 1 | Avellino |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1X2 | away | 3.10 | 32.3% | 18 Oct 16:15 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | draw | 3.10 | 32.3% | 18 Oct 16:15 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | home | 2.25 | 44.4% | 18 Oct 16:15 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | over | 2.05 | 48.8% | 18 Oct 16:15 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.75 | 57.1% | 18 Oct 16:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.20 | 31.2% | 18 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.30 | 30.3% | 18 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.25 | 44.4% | 18 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.90 | 52.6% | 18 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.88 | 53.2% | 18 Oct 06:15 |