| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 55.7% | 43% | +12.2% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 56.1% | 43.9% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 45.2% | 54.7% |
| logistic | 60.2% | 39.8% |
| Manas Dhamne | Maxime Janvier | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1473 | 1374 |
| Surface Elo | 1473 | 1374 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 0.67 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.67 |
| Rest days | 20 | 6 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 07 Sep | A | Daniel Rincon | 0 - 2 | L |
| 17 Aug | H | Viktor Durasovic | 1 - 2 | L |
| 10 Aug | A | Aziz Dougaz | 0 - 2 | L |
| 10 Aug | H | Vadym Ursu | 2 - 0 | W |
| 03 Aug | A | Gijs Brouwer | 1 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | H | Daniel Masur | 0 - 2 | L |
| 20 Sep | A | Henri Squire | 2 - 1 | W |
| 15 Sep | H | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg | 0 - 2 | L |
| 14 Sep | H | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg | 0 - 2 | L |
| 07 Sep | H | Yanis Ghazouani Durand | 1 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.57 | 63.7% | 27 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.30 | 43.5% | 27 Sep 06:15 |