OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-24
⚽ England Premier League · Saturday 24 October 2026, 14:00 UTC · finished
Arsenal 2.40 2 - 0 1.20 Everton
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 64.3%69%-4.4%✓ hit
DCHome or draw 89.0%89%-0.3%✓ hit
DNBHome (DNB) 85.7%86%-0.3%✓ hit
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 55.0%55%-0.3%✗ miss
BTTSBTTS no 49.6%no line✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson65.2%22.7%12.1%
xgboost76.2%14.3%9.5%
logistic70.0%20.4%9.6%
Inputs the models saw
ArsenalEverton
Elo (pre-match)19421694
Surface Elo19421694
Form, last 5 (PPG)2.401.20
Form trend0.000.20
Season points per game3.000.50
Season goals for / game1.501.00
Season goals against / game0.502.00
Rest days57
Head-to-head (last 10)6 W2 W · 2 D
Arsenal: last 5
21 OctABayern München2 - 2D
18 OctANottingham Forest1 - 0W
18 OctANottingham Forest1 - 0W
13 OctHLille3 - 0W
10 OctHLeeds2 - 1W
Everton: last 5
17 OctHChelsea0 - 2L
17 OctHChelsea0 - 2L
11 OctAHull2 - 2D
11 OctAHull2 - 2D
23 SepABoreham Wood1 - 1D
Head to head
14 Mar 2026Arsenal2 - 0Everton
20 Dec 2025Everton0 - 1Arsenal
05 Apr 2025Everton1 - 1Arsenal
14 Dec 2024Arsenal0 - 0Everton
19 May 2024Arsenal2 - 1Everton
17 Sep 2023Everton0 - 1Arsenal
01 Mar 2023Arsenal4 - 0Everton
04 Feb 2023Everton1 - 0Arsenal
22 May 2022Arsenal5 - 1Everton
06 Dec 2021Everton2 - 1Arsenal
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away7.6713.0%23 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw4.9120.4%23 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home1.4668.5%23 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.8155.2%23 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under2.0548.8%23 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 19:22 UTC