| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 72.0% | 73% | -1.1% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 68.4% | 31.6% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 60.3% | 39.6% |
| logistic | 75.2% | 24.8% |
| Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg | Liam Broady | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1760 | 1531 |
| Surface Elo | 1760 | 1531 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | 0.60 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 2.73 | 0.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.82 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.55 | 2.00 |
| Rest days | 8 | 12 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 12 Oct | A | Matteo Martineau | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | Clement Tabur | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | A | Dinko Dinev | 2 - 0 | W |
| 04 Oct | H | Clement Chidekh | 0 - 2 | L |
| 03 Oct | A | Joel Schwaerzler | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Sep | H | Dominic Stricker | 1 - 2 | L |
| 04 Nov | H | Yi Zhou | 0 - 2 | L |
| 04 Nov | A | Alexey Zakharov | 2 - 0 | W |
| 14 Oct | A | Jakub Paul | 0 - 2 | L |
| 07 Oct | H | Robin Bertrand | 0 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.15 | 31.8% | 12 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.33 | 75.2% | 12 Oct 06:15 |