| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 50.8% | 38% | +12.7% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 40.5% | 59.4% |
| logistic | 59.5% | 40.5% |
| markov | abstained: no serve/return ratings for this match | |
| Marcus Walters | Leonardo Rossi | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1526 | 1444 |
| Surface Elo | 1526 | 1444 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 2.14 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.43 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.71 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 2 | 11 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 26 Oct | H | Hodkin, S | 2 - 0 | W |
| 25 Oct | H | Jared Horwood | 2 - 0 | W |
| 13 Oct | H | Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez | 2 - 0 | W |
| 08 Oct | A | Jakub Filip | 1 - 2 | L |
| 07 Oct | A | Thomas Kostka | 2 - 0 | W |
| 16 Oct | H | Mika Petkovic | 0 - 2 | L |
| 15 Oct | A | Guillaume Dalmasso | 2 - 0 | W |
| 28 Sep | H | Yanis Ghazouani Durand | 0 - 1 | L |
| 27 Sep | A | Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine | 1 - 0 | W |
| 20 Sep | H | Daniel Masur | 1 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.43 | 69.9% | 27 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.62 | 38.2% | 27 Oct 06:15 |