| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 64.1% | 59% | +5.5% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 40.1% | 59.9% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 33.3% | 66.6% |
| logistic | 29.4% | 70.6% |
| Jurij Rodionov | Nikoloz Basilashvili | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1642 | 1840 |
| Surface Elo | 1642 | 1840 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.60 | 0.90 |
| Season points per game | 0.00 | 2.45 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 1.82 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.00 | 0.45 |
| Rest days | 10 | 3 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 18 Oct | H | Pierre Hugues Herbert | 1 - 2 | L |
| 07 Sep | A | Daniel Masur | 1 - 2 | L |
| 07 Sep | H | Matisse Bobichon | 2 - 0 | W |
| 03 Sep | A | Jakub Mensik | 1 - 3 | L |
| 31 Aug | A | Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard | 3 - 0 | W |
| 25 Oct | A | Daniil Medvedev | 1 - 2 | L |
| 25 Oct | A | Daniil Medvedev | 1 - 2 | L |
| 24 Oct | H | Stefanos Tsitsipas | 2 - 1 | W |
| 24 Oct | H | Stefanos Tsitsipas | 2 - 1 | W |
| 23 Oct | H | Adrian Mannarino | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.71 | 58.5% | 27 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.20 | 45.5% | 27 Oct 06:15 |