| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 58.0% | 63% | -4.7% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 59.6% | 40.4% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 59.7% | 40.3% |
| logistic | 55.3% | 44.7% |
| Taylor Fritz | Stefanos Tsitsipas | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1976 | 1942 |
| Surface Elo | 1976 | 1942 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.71 | 2.33 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.29 | 1.67 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.86 | 0.78 |
| Rest days | 1 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 2 W | 5 W · 0 D |
| 25 Oct | A | Lorenzo Musetti | 0 - 2 | L |
| 25 Oct | A | Lorenzo Musetti | 0 - 2 | L |
| 24 Oct | A | Tommy Paul | 1 - 0 | W |
| 24 Oct | H | Tommy Paul | 2 - 0 | W |
| 23 Oct | A | Daniel Altmaier | 2 - 0 | W |
| 24 Oct | A | Nikoloz Basilashvili | 1 - 2 | L |
| 24 Oct | A | Nikoloz Basilashvili | 1 - 2 | L |
| 23 Oct | H | James Duckworth | 2 - 0 | W |
| 23 Oct | A | James Duckworth | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Oct | H | Mikhail Kukushkin | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct 2026 | Stefanos Tsitsipas | 2 - 1 | Taylor Fritz |
| 12 Oct 2026 | Stefanos Tsitsipas | 2 - 1 | Taylor Fritz |
| 15 Jan 2024 | Stefanos Tsitsipas | 1 - 3 | Taylor Fritz |
| 10 Apr 2023 | Stefanos Tsitsipas | 0 - 2 | Taylor Fritz |
| 17 Jan 2022 | Stefanos Tsitsipas | 3 - 2 | Taylor Fritz |
| 28 Oct 2019 | Stefanos Tsitsipas | 2 - 0 | Taylor Fritz |
| 20 Sep 2019 | Stefanos Tsitsipas | 2 - 1 | Taylor Fritz |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.40 | 41.7% | 26 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.59 | 62.9% | 26 Oct 06:15 |