| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 57.6% | 64% | -6.1% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 38.1% | 61.9% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 43.8% | 56.2% |
| logistic | 43.0% | 57.0% |
| Aidan Mayo | Maks Kasnikowski | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1581 | 1644 |
| Surface Elo | 1581 | 1644 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.67 | 2.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.33 | 1.33 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 0.50 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 27 Oct | H | Hynek Barton | 2 - 0 | W |
| 23 Oct | A | Sander Jong | 1 - 2 | L |
| 22 Oct | A | Kaylan Bigun | 2 - 1 | W |
| 20 Oct | H | Colton Smith | 2 - 1 | W |
| 19 Oct | H | Sander Jong | 1 - 2 | L |
| 27 Oct | A | James Trotter | 2 - 0 | W |
| 17 Oct | H | Damir Dzumhur | 0 - 2 | L |
| 16 Oct | H | Stefano Travaglia | 2 - 0 | W |
| 14 Oct | A | Andrea Guerrieri | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Cezar Cretu | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.57 | 63.7% | 28 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.30 | 43.5% | 28 Oct 06:15 |