| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 45.7% | 44% | +1.3% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or draw | 73.9% | 74% | +0.0% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 60.9% | 61% | -0.6% | void |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62.6% | 55% | +7.4% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 61.6% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 41.2% | 27.7% | 31.1% |
| xgboost | 40.7% | 31.9% | 27.4% |
| logistic | 45.0% | 28.2% | 26.9% |
| Verona | Pisa | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1445 | 1463 |
| Surface Elo | 1445 | 1463 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| Form trend | 0.40 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.33 | 2.33 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 2.67 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 8 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 2 D |
| 16 Oct | H | Catanzaro | 2 - 2 | D |
| 16 Oct | H | Catanzaro | 2 - 2 | D |
| 11 Oct | A | Modena | 2 - 3 | L |
| 11 Oct | A | Modena | 2 - 3 | L |
| 02 Oct | A | Lugano | 3 - 1 | W |
| 17 Oct | H | Cremonese | 3 - 1 | W |
| 17 Oct | H | Cremonese | 3 - 1 | W |
| 17 Oct | H | Ascoli | 4 - 1 | W |
| 10 Oct | A | L.R. Vicenza | 3 - 0 | W |
| 10 Oct | A | Vicenza | 3 - 0 | W |
| 06 Feb 2026 | Verona | 0 - 0 | Pisa |
| 18 Oct 2025 | Pisa | 0 - 0 | Verona |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.10 | 32.3% | 23 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.40 | 29.4% | 23 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.25 | 44.4% | 23 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.81 | 55.2% | 23 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.93 | 51.8% | 23 Oct 06:15 |