| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 48.6% | no line | ✗ miss | |
| DC | Home or away | 75.5% | no line | ✗ miss | |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 63.1% | no line | void | |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.6% | no line | ✗ miss | |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 55.3% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 40.5% | 27.1% | 32.4% |
| xgboost | 45.3% | 24.8% | 29.8% |
| logistic | 47.1% | 28.3% | 24.5% |
| Mansfield | Oxford | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1536 | 1533 |
| Surface Elo | 1536 | 1533 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Form trend | -0.70 | -0.40 |
| Season points per game | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 5 | 5 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 10 Oct | H | Bromley | 2 - 1 | W |
| 10 Oct | H | Bromley | 2 - 1 | W |
| 06 Oct | A | Port Vale | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Sep | A | Burton | 2 - 2 | D |
| 19 Sep | A | Burton | 2 - 2 | D |
| 10 Oct | A | Notts County | 2 - 1 | W |
| 10 Oct | A | Notts County | 2 - 1 | W |
| 06 Oct | A | Exeter | 2 - 2 | D |
| 19 Sep | H | Cambridge | 1 - 1 | D |
| 19 Sep | H | Cambridge | 1 - 1 | D |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No bookmaker lines stored. | |||||