| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 65.2% | 66% | -1.0% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 32.6% | 67.4% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 34.5% | 65.4% |
| logistic | 31.8% | 68.2% |
| Evan Zhu | Alibek Kachmazov | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1374 | 1602 |
| Surface Elo | 1374 | 1602 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.80 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 2 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 06 Oct | H | Koki Matsuda | 2 - 0 | W |
| 29 Sep | A | Alex Bolt | 1 - 2 | L |
| 29 Sep | H | Hanyi Liu | 2 - 0 | W |
| 28 Sep | A | Xia, Zhiheng | 2 - 0 | W |
| 22 Sep | H | Henry Searle | 1 - 2 | L |
| 06 Oct | H | Charles Broom | 2 - 1 | W |
| 02 Feb | H | Gabriele Piraino | 1 - 2 | L |
| 28 Jul | H | Nishesh Basavareddy | 0 - 2 | L |
| 28 Jul | H | Beibit Zhukayev | 2 - 1 | W |
| 21 Jul | A | Aidan Mayo | 0 - 2 | L |
| 09 May 2022 | Alibek Kachmazov | 0 - 2 | Evan Zhu |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.51 | 66.2% | 07 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.45 | 40.8% | 07 Oct 06:15 |