| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 64.1% | 85% | -21.4% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 35.8% | 64.2% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 22.8% | 77.2% |
| logistic | 44.4% | 55.6% |
| Kris Van Wyk | Lilian Marmousez | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1541 | 1561 |
| Surface Elo | 1541 | 1561 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.93 | 2.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.36 | 1.67 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.86 | 0.50 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 29 Oct | A | Toufik Sahtali | 2 - 0 | W |
| 27 Oct | H | Petrofsky, David | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Oct | H | Leo Borg | 0 - 2 | L |
| 15 Oct | H | Luca Wiedenmann | 0 - 2 | L |
| 13 Oct | A | Figl, Maximilian | 2 - 0 | W |
| 28 Oct | A | Charles Chen | 2 - 0 | W |
| 22 Oct | H | Liam Gavrielides | 0 - 2 | L |
| 20 Oct | H | Kaan Isik Kosaner | 2 - 0 | W |
| 25 Sep | H | Talan Lopatic, Luka | 2 - 0 | W |
| 24 Sep | H | Bruno Pujol Navarro | 2 - 1 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.17 | 85.5% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 4.50 | 22.2% | 30 Oct 06:15 |