| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 56.9% | 59% | -1.7% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 42.9% | 57.1% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 46.2% | 53.7% |
| logistic | 46.5% | 53.5% |
| Nicolas Mejia | Max Hans Rehberg | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1563 | 1650 |
| Surface Elo | 1563 | 1650 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.20 | 1.42 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 1.17 |
| Rest days | 2 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 09 Nov | H | Jack Kennedy | 2 - 0 | W |
| 02 Nov | H | Murphy Cassone | 1 - 2 | L |
| 02 Nov | A | Murphy Cassone | 1 - 2 | L |
| 22 Oct | A | Miguel Tobon | 1 - 2 | L |
| 20 Oct | A | Federico Coria | 2 - 0 | W |
| 09 Nov | A | Trevor Svajda | 2 - 1 | W |
| 06 Nov | H | Aidan Mayo | 0 - 2 | L |
| 05 Nov | A | Daniel Milavsky | 2 - 1 | W |
| 03 Nov | H | Trevor Svajda | 2 - 1 | W |
| 02 Nov | A | Aidan Mayo | 0 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.71 | 58.5% | 11 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.05 | 48.8% | 11 Nov 06:15 |