| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No prediction run for this match yet. | |||||
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| – | |||
| Ajax | AZ Alkmaar | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1685 | 1658 |
| Surface Elo | 1685 | 1658 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.00 | 2.60 |
| Form trend | -0.40 | 0.40 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 3 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 6 W · 4 D |
| 15 Sep | H | Willem II | 5 - 1 | W |
| 12 Sep | A | For Sittard | 5 - 1 | W |
| 05 Sep | H | PSV Eindhoven | 1 - 3 | L |
| 30 Aug | A | Telstar | 4 - 0 | W |
| 16 Aug | H | Heerenveen | 2 - 2 | D |
| 11 Sep | H | Willem II | 1 - 1 | D |
| 06 Sep | A | Heerenveen | 3 - 2 | W |
| 29 Aug | H | Go Ahead Eagles | 5 - 2 | W |
| 22 Aug | A | For Sittard | 2 - 0 | W |
| 15 Aug | A | Utrecht | 4 - 1 | W |
| 08 Feb 2026 | AZ Alkmaar | 1 - 1 | Ajax |
| 18 Oct 2025 | Ajax | 0 - 2 | AZ Alkmaar |
| 16 Mar 2025 | Ajax | 2 - 2 | AZ Alkmaar |
| 08 Dec 2024 | AZ Alkmaar | 2 - 1 | Ajax |
| 25 Feb 2024 | AZ Alkmaar | 2 - 0 | Ajax |
| 08 Oct 2023 | Ajax | 1 - 2 | AZ Alkmaar |
| 06 May 2023 | Ajax | 0 - 0 | AZ Alkmaar |
| 18 Sep 2022 | AZ Alkmaar | 2 - 1 | Ajax |
| 08 May 2022 | AZ Alkmaar | 2 - 2 | Ajax |
| 12 Dec 2021 | Ajax | 1 - 2 | AZ Alkmaar |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 6.70 | 14.9% | 19 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 4.50 | 22.2% | 19 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.37 | 73.0% | 19 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.52 | 65.8% | 19 Sep 06:16 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.30 | 43.5% | 19 Sep 06:16 |