| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 44.3% | 42% | +2.6% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or away | 75.1% | 77% | -2.3% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 55.8% | 57% | -0.8% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.6% | 58% | -2.9% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 52.2% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 40.8% | 26.3% | 32.9% |
| xgboost | 29.9% | 27.0% | 43.1% |
| logistic | 28.9% | 28.9% | 42.3% |
| Blackpool | Mansfield | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1494 | 1547 |
| Surface Elo | 1494 | 1547 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | -0.40 | -0.40 |
| Season points per game | 0.75 | 2.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.75 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 3 | 3 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 2 W · 1 D |
| 20 Oct | H | Milton Keynes Dons | 2 - 0 | W |
| 20 Oct | H | Milton Keynes Dons | 2 - 0 | W |
| 17 Oct | A | Leyton Orient | 0 - 2 | L |
| 17 Oct | A | Leyton Orient | 0 - 2 | L |
| 10 Oct | A | Cambridge | 0 - 1 | L |
| 20 Oct | A | AFC Wimbledon | 3 - 0 | W |
| 20 Oct | A | AFC Wimbledon | 3 - 0 | W |
| 15 Oct | H | Oxford | 1 - 1 | D |
| 15 Oct | H | Oxford | 1 - 1 | D |
| 10 Oct | H | Bromley | 2 - 1 | W |
| 17 Feb 2026 | Blackpool | 1 - 0 | Mansfield |
| 19 Aug 2025 | Mansfield | 2 - 0 | Blackpool |
| 15 Feb 2025 | Blackpool | 3 - 3 | Mansfield |
| 05 Oct 2024 | Mansfield | 2 - 0 | Blackpool |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.40 | 41.7% | 23 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.60 | 27.8% | 23 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.80 | 35.7% | 23 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.71 | 58.5% | 23 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.10 | 47.6% | 23 Oct 06:15 |