| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 58.1% | 68% | -10.4% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or draw | 84.2% | 88% | -3.9% | ✗ miss |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 78.1% | 84% | -6.2% | ✗ miss |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.4% | 70% | -12.5% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 57.9% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 55.5% | 23.4% | 21.1% |
| xgboost | 64.2% | 19.9% | 15.9% |
| logistic | 58.8% | 29.7% | 11.5% |
| Groningen | FC Emmen | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1559 | 1422 |
| Surface Elo | 1559 | 1422 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | 0.60 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 4 | 1250 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 3 W | 2 W · 3 D |
| 25 Oct | A | Nijmegen | 2 - 2 | D |
| 25 Oct | A | Nijmegen | 2 - 2 | D |
| 18 Oct | H | Ajax | 2 - 5 | L |
| 18 Oct | H | Ajax | 2 - 5 | L |
| 11 Oct | A | Excelsior | 5 - 1 | W |
| 23 Oct | A | Vitesse | 2 - 0 | W |
| 17 Oct | H | Almere City | 2 - 1 | W |
| 09 Oct | A | FC Dordrecht | 3 - 0 | W |
| 03 Oct | A | Waalwijk | 1 - 1 | D |
| 26 Sep | H | TOP Oss | 1 - 0 | W |
| 18 Feb 2023 | Groningen | 1 - 1 | FC Emmen |
| 30 Oct 2022 | FC Emmen | 0 - 0 | Groningen |
| 09 May 2021 | FC Emmen | 0 - 4 | Groningen |
| 13 Mar 2021 | Groningen | 1 - 1 | FC Emmen |
| 22 Dec 2019 | Groningen | 2 - 0 | FC Emmen |
| 03 Aug 2019 | FC Emmen | 0 - 1 | Groningen |
| 15 May 2019 | FC Emmen | 1 - 0 | Groningen |
| 16 Dec 2018 | Groningen | 1 - 2 | FC Emmen |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 6.00 | 16.7% | 29 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 5.10 | 19.6% | 29 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.46 | 68.5% | 29 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.43 | 69.9% | 29 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.75 | 36.4% | 29 Oct 06:15 |