| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 50.6% | no line | ✗ miss | |
| DC | Home or away | 75.8% | no line | ✓ hit | |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 65.8% | no line | ✗ miss | |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58.0% | no line | ✓ hit | |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 59.8% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 46.0% | 24.0% | 30.0% |
| xgboost | 49.8% | 26.4% | 23.8% |
| logistic | 53.0% | 23.5% | 23.5% |
| Lens | Marseille | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1746 | 1720 |
| Surface Elo | 1746 | 1720 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 2.25 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.75 | 3.25 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 1.25 |
| Rest days | 8 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 6 W | 4 W · 0 D |
| 04 Nov | H | Como | 1 - 9 | L |
| 30 Oct | A | Lille | 0 - 1 | L |
| 30 Oct | A | Lille | 0 - 1 | L |
| 24 Oct | H | Paris FC | 2 - 1 | W |
| 24 Oct | H | Paris FC | 2 - 1 | W |
| 05 Nov | A | Bayer Leverkusen | 1 - 0 | W |
| 01 Nov | H | Toulouse | 2 - 0 | W |
| 01 Nov | H | Toulouse | 2 - 0 | W |
| 25 Oct | H | Le Havre | 4 - 3 | W |
| 25 Oct | H | Le Havre | 4 - 3 | W |
| 24 Jan 2026 | Marseille | 3 - 1 | Lens |
| 25 Oct 2025 | Lens | 2 - 1 | Marseille |
| 08 Mar 2025 | Marseille | 0 - 1 | Lens |
| 23 Nov 2024 | Lens | 1 - 3 | Marseille |
| 28 Apr 2024 | Marseille | 2 - 1 | Lens |
| 12 Nov 2023 | Lens | 1 - 0 | Marseille |
| 06 May 2023 | Lens | 2 - 1 | Marseille |
| 22 Oct 2022 | Marseille | 0 - 1 | Lens |
| 22 Jan 2022 | Lens | 0 - 2 | Marseille |
| 26 Sep 2021 | Marseille | 2 - 3 | Lens |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No bookmaker lines stored. | |||||