| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 52.5% | 48% | +4.9% |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 45.8% | 54.2% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 50.3% | 49.6% |
| logistic | 49.5% | 50.5% |
| Francesco Maestrelli | Sumit Nagal | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1645 | 1689 |
| Surface Elo | 1645 | 1689 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.80 | 2.10 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.27 | 1.30 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.87 | 0.70 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 1 W 路 0 D |
| 11 Nov | H | Johannus Monday | 2 - 0 | W |
| 10 Nov | H | Jack Loge | 2 - 0 | W |
| 06 Nov | H | Carlo Alberto Caniato | 0 - 2 | L |
| 05 Nov | H | Peter Makk | 2 - 0 | W |
| 03 Nov | H | Francesco Forti | 2 - 0 | W |
| 11 Nov | A | Michael Geerts | 2 - 0 | W |
| 10 Nov | A | Karim Bennani | 2 - 0 | W |
| 06 Nov | A | Kilian Feldbausch | 1 - 2 | L |
| 05 Nov | H | Hugo Grenier | 2 - 0 | W |
| 03 Nov | H | Georgii Kravchenko | 1 - 0 | W |
| 24 Apr 2023 | Francesco Maestrelli | 0 - 2 | Sumit Nagal |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.10 | 47.6% | 12 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.67 | 59.9% | 12 Nov 06:15 |