| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 53.5% | 60% | -6.7% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 53.3% | 46.7% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 32.7% | 67.2% |
| logistic | 55.0% | 45.0% |
| Alex Molcan | Hamad Medjedovic | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1783 | 1765 |
| Surface Elo | 1783 | 1765 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 0.00 |
| Form trend | 0.60 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 0.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 0.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Rest days | 15 | 3 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 09 Oct | A | Alex De Minaur | 0 - 1 | L |
| 07 Oct | H | Federico Cina | 2 - 1 | W |
| 02 Oct | H | Karen Khachanov | 0 - 2 | L |
| 01 Oct | H | Tomas Machac | 2 - 0 | W |
| 28 Sep | H | Vit Kopriva | 2 - 1 | W |
| 20 Oct | H | Brandon Nakashima | 1 - 2 | L |
| 20 Oct | A | Brandon Nakashima | 1 - 2 | L |
| 08 Oct | A | Thiago Agustin Tirante | 0 - 2 | L |
| 08 Oct | H | Thiago Agustin Tirante | 0 - 2 | L |
| 30 Aug | H | Kamil Majchrzak | 0 - 3 | L |
| 24 May 2021 | Alex Molcan | 2 - 0 | Hamad Medjedovic |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.66 | 60.2% | 24 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.30 | 43.5% | 24 Oct 06:15 |