OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-09-26
⚽ Scotland Challenge Cup · Saturday 26 September 2026, 14:00 UTC · finished
Hamilton 2.60 3 - 0 1.00 Kilmarnock
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 49.6%88%-38.9%✓ hit
DCHome or away 75.5%96%-20.1%✓ hit
DNBHome (DNB) 63.1%100%-36.8%✓ hit
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 54.2%76%-22.2%✓ hit
BTTSBTTS yes 55.8%no line✗ miss
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson36.7%26.5%36.9%
xgboost42.3%26.7%31.0%
logistic46.4%26.5%27.0%
Inputs the models saw
HamiltonKilmarnock
Elo (pre-match)15651595
Surface Elo15651595
Form, last 5 (PPG)2.601.00
Form trend-0.20-0.50
Season points per game3.000.00
Season goals for / game1.002.00
Season goals against / game0.003.00
Rest days76
Head-to-head (last 10)2 W7 W · 1 D
Hamilton: last 5
23 SepHCowdenbeath1 - 0W
19 SepHQueen of Sth4 - 1W
19 SepHQueen of the South FC4 - 1W
05 SepAEast Kilbride1 - 0W
29 AugHCove Rangers1 - 0W
Kilmarnock: last 5
22 SepADumbarton2 - 3L
19 SepHHearts1 - 1D
19 SepHHeart of Midlothian FC1 - 1D
15 SepAHibernian1 - 0W
05 SepAAberdeen0 - 0D
Head to head
05 Mar 2022Kilmarnock2 - 0Hamilton
26 Dec 2021Hamilton2 - 3Kilmarnock
23 Oct 2021Kilmarnock2 - 1Hamilton
21 Aug 2021Hamilton0 - 2Kilmarnock
16 May 2021Hamilton0 - 2Kilmarnock
09 Jan 2021Kilmarnock2 - 0Hamilton
05 Dec 2020Hamilton1 - 0Kilmarnock
19 Sep 2020Kilmarnock2 - 1Hamilton
07 Mar 2020Hamilton1 - 0Kilmarnock
09 Nov 2019Kilmarnock2 - 2Hamilton
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away14.007.1%26 Sep 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw7.9012.7%26 Sep 06:15
SportyBet1X2home1.1388.5%26 Sep 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.3176.3%26 Sep 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under3.2530.8%26 Sep 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 19:25 UTC