| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 59.9% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 55.3% | 44.7% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 66.9% | 33.0% |
| logistic | 56.5% | 43.5% |
| Casper Ruud | Nuno Borges | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1980 | 1902 |
| Surface Elo | 1980 | 1902 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | -0.90 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 2.10 | 1.80 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.30 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.70 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 2 W | 3 W · 0 D |
| 06 Nov | H | Nuno Borges | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Nov | A | Jan Lennard Struff | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Nov | H | Rodrigo Alujas | 2 - 0 | W |
| 03 Nov | H | Rafael Jodar | 2 - 0 | W |
| 03 Nov | H | Rafael Jodar | 2 - 0 | W |
| 06 Nov | A | Casper Ruud | 0 - 2 | L |
| 05 Nov | H | Ignacio Buse | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Nov | A | Ignacio Buse | 2 - 0 | W |
| 04 Nov | H | Karen Khachanov | 2 - 0 | W |
| 04 Nov | A | Karen Khachanov | 2 - 0 | W |
| 06 Nov 2026 | Casper Ruud | 2 - 0 | Nuno Borges |
| 28 Oct 2026 | Nuno Borges | 2 - 1 | Casper Ruud |
| 28 Oct 2026 | Casper Ruud | 1 - 2 | Nuno Borges |
| 27 Jul 2025 | Casper Ruud | 2 - 0 | Nuno Borges |
| 26 May 2025 | Casper Ruud | 1 - 3 | Nuno Borges |
| 19 Feb 2024 | Casper Ruud | 2 - 0 | Nuno Borges |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No bookmaker lines stored. | |||||