| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 56.1% | 33% | +22.8% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or away | 72.7% | 71% | +1.8% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 54.3% | 44% | +9.9% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 60.2% | 60% | +0.3% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS no | 53.9% | 33% | +20.6% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 43.4% | 25.0% | 30.9% |
| xgboost | 30.0% | 26.3% | 43.8% |
| logistic | 26.3% | 29.9% | 43.8% |
| La Coruna | Sevilla | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1616 | 1610 |
| Surface Elo | 1616 | 1610 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| Form trend | -0.20 | 0.20 |
| Season points per game | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 2 | 4 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 1 W · 1 D |
| 13 Sep | A | Getafe | 1 - 1 | D |
| 05 Sep | A | Villarreal | 3 - 2 | W |
| 30 Aug | H | Valencia | 3 - 1 | W |
| 24 Aug | A | Malaga | 1 - 1 | D |
| 17 Aug | H | Elche | 1 - 1 | D |
| 11 Sep | H | Valencia | 1 - 0 | W |
| 06 Sep | A | Espanol | 1 - 1 | D |
| 29 Aug | H | Atlético Madrid | 1 - 3 | L |
| 22 Aug | A | Athletic Club | 3 - 1 | W |
| 15 Aug | H | Vallecano | 2 - 1 | W |
| 17 Apr 2018 | La Coruna | 0 - 0 | Sevilla |
| 02 Dec 2017 | Sevilla | 2 - 0 | La Coruna |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1X2 | away | 2.75 | 36.4% | 16 Sep 18:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | draw | 3.10 | 32.3% | 16 Sep 18:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | home | 2.75 | 36.4% | 16 Sep 18:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | over | 2.20 | 45.5% | 16 Sep 18:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.67 | 59.9% | 16 Sep 18:00 |