| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 47.1% | 40% | +7.0% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or away | 73.9% | 76% | -2.4% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 61.4% | 54% | +7.8% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59.3% | 69% | -9.9% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 57.6% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 43.5% | 25.2% | 31.3% |
| xgboost | 37.1% | 33.9% | 29.0% |
| logistic | 43.8% | 27.8% | 28.4% |
| Frosinone | Sassuolo | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1663 | 1636 |
| Surface Elo | 1663 | 1636 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| Form trend | 0.60 | 0.50 |
| Season points per game | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 6 | 5 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 2 W | 3 W · 1 D |
| 10 Oct | A | Napoli | 0 - 3 | L |
| 10 Oct | A | Napoli | 0 - 3 | L |
| 20 Sep | H | Como | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Sep | A | Genoa | 1 - 1 | D |
| 06 Sep | H | Venezia | 3 - 2 | W |
| 11 Oct | H | Ac Milan | 1 - 1 | D |
| 11 Oct | H | Ac Milan | 1 - 1 | D |
| 18 Sep | A | Monza | 1 - 2 | L |
| 13 Sep | H | Juventus | 3 - 2 | W |
| 06 Sep | A | Bologna | 2 - 2 | D |
| 13 May 2025 | Sassuolo | 0 - 1 | Frosinone |
| 14 Dec 2024 | Frosinone | 1 - 2 | Sassuolo |
| 09 Mar 2024 | Sassuolo | 1 - 0 | Frosinone |
| 17 Sep 2023 | Frosinone | 4 - 2 | Sassuolo |
| 05 May 2019 | Sassuolo | 2 - 2 | Frosinone |
| 16 Dec 2018 | Frosinone | 0 - 2 | Sassuolo |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.86 | 35.0% | 16 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.90 | 25.6% | 16 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.41 | 41.5% | 16 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.42 | 70.4% | 16 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 3.00 | 33.3% | 16 Oct 06:15 |