| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 48.2% | 42% | +6.2% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or draw | 73.6% | 76% | -2.1% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 64.1% | 60% | +4.2% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.3% | 45% | +5.3% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 53.8% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 46.1% | 26.6% | 27.3% |
| xgboost | 39.3% | 32.2% | 28.5% |
| logistic | 50.5% | 25.1% | 24.4% |
| Girona | Osasuna | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1569 | 1563 |
| Surface Elo | 1569 | 1563 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | 0.40 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 0.00 |
| Rest days | 7 | 8 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 4 W | 3 W · 1 D |
| 25 Sep | H | Albacete | 2 - 0 | W |
| 25 Sep | H | Albacete | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Sep | A | Cadiz | 2 - 1 | W |
| 19 Sep | A | Cadiz | 2 - 1 | W |
| 12 Sep | H | Castellon | 1 - 2 | L |
| 20 Sep | H | CD Ebro | 1 - 0 | W |
| 19 Sep | H | Vallecano | 1 - 1 | D |
| 16 Sep | A | Atlético Madrid | 0 - 4 | L |
| 12 Sep | H | Espanol | 0 - 2 | L |
| 06 Sep | A | Alaves | 2 - 5 | L |
| 21 Mar 2026 | Osasuna | 1 - 0 | Girona |
| 10 Jan 2026 | Girona | 1 - 0 | Osasuna |
| 13 Apr 2025 | Osasuna | 2 - 1 | Girona |
| 29 Aug 2024 | Girona | 4 - 0 | Osasuna |
| 09 Mar 2024 | Girona | 2 - 0 | Osasuna |
| 04 Nov 2023 | Osasuna | 2 - 4 | Girona |
| 04 Jun 2023 | Osasuna | 2 - 1 | Girona |
| 23 Oct 2022 | Girona | 1 - 1 | Osasuna |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.80 | 35.7% | 27 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.00 | 33.3% | 27 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.30 | 43.5% | 27 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 2.15 | 46.5% | 27 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.59 | 62.9% | 27 Sep 06:15 |