| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 64.2% | 69% | -4.8% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 31.4% | 68.6% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 35.9% | 64.1% |
| logistic | 48.4% | 51.6% |
| Petr Bar Biryukov | Stefanos Sakellaridis | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1543 | 1646 |
| Surface Elo | 1543 | 1646 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 0.00 |
| Form trend | 0.60 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 0.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 0.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 2.00 |
| Rest days | 6 | 5 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 11 Oct | A | Omar Jasika | 0 - 2 | L |
| 30 Sep | A | Masamichi Imamura | 2 - 0 | W |
| 29 Sep | A | Dane Sweeny | 0 - 2 | L |
| 29 Sep | A | Masamichi Imamura | 2 - 0 | W |
| 18 Sep | A | Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong | 2 - 1 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Keegan Smith | 1 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | Keegan Smith | 1 - 2 | L |
| 05 Oct | A | Timofey Skatov | 0 - 2 | L |
| 29 Sep | H | Yuta Shimizu | 0 - 2 | L |
| 29 Sep | H | Yuta Shimizu | 0 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.45 | 69.0% | 17 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.85 | 35.1% | 17 Oct 06:15 |