| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 58.4% | 66% | -7.4% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 58.1% | 41.9% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 37.4% | 62.4% |
| logistic | 36.6% | 63.4% |
| Jamie Mackenzie | Lui Maxted | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1546 | 1553 |
| Surface Elo | 1546 | 1553 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.90 | -0.90 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 0.67 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.33 |
| Rest days | 90 | 6 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 10 Aug | H | Jan Kumstat | 1 - 2 | L |
| 03 Aug | A | Elmer Moller | 0 - 2 | L |
| 27 Jul | H | Jan Choinski | 0 - 2 | L |
| 27 Jul | H | Max Dahlin | 2 - 1 | W |
| 27 Jul | H | Jurij Rodionov | 2 - 0 | W |
| 02 Nov | H | Tyler Zink | 2 - 1 | W |
| 31 Oct | A | Alastair Gray | 2 - 0 | W |
| 29 Oct | H | Simakin, Ilia | 2 - 1 | W |
| 20 Oct | A | Sander Jong | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | H | Sander Jong | 0 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.52 | 65.8% | 08 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.40 | 41.7% | 08 Nov 06:15 |