| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 63.2% | 77% | -13.7% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 40.4% | 59.6% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 26.6% | 73.4% |
| logistic | 39.6% | 60.4% |
| Christian Langmo | Lorenzo Giustino | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1460 | 1577 |
| Surface Elo | 1460 | 1577 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | -0.60 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.80 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.20 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.20 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 1 | 5 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 05 Oct | H | Oleksandr Ovcharenko | 2 - 1 | W |
| 05 Oct | H | Lorenzo Giustino | 0 - 2 | L |
| 04 Oct | H | Dominik Recek | 2 - 0 | W |
| 28 Sep | A | Goncalo Marques | 0 - 2 | L |
| 27 Sep | H | Eliakim Coulibaly | 2 - 1 | W |
| 05 Oct | A | Carlos Sanchez Jover | 1 - 2 | L |
| 05 Oct | A | Christian Langmo | 2 - 0 | W |
| 01 Oct | H | Matthew William Donald | 1 - 2 | L |
| 29 Sep | H | John Sperle | 2 - 1 | W |
| 28 Sep | H | Matthew William Donald | 1 - 2 | L |
| 05 Oct 2026 | Christian Langmo | 0 - 2 | Lorenzo Giustino |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.30 | 76.9% | 06 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.35 | 29.8% | 06 Oct 06:15 |