OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-06
⚽ England EFL Trophy · Tuesday 06 October 2026, 18:00 UTC · finished
Port Vale 0.80 2 - 0 1.00 Mansfield
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Away win 48.5%40%+8.5%✗ miss
DCHome or away 74.4%81%-6.1%✓ hit
DNBAway (DNB) 61.9%53%+8.4%✗ miss
O/U 2.5Under 2.5 52.7%46%+7.0%✓ hit
BTTSBTTS no 51.7%no line✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson29.8%29.1%41.1%
xgboost33.8%27.8%38.4%
logistic31.9%29.0%39.2%
Inputs the models saw
Port ValeMansfield
Elo (pre-match)13941524
Surface Elo13941524
Form, last 5 (PPG)0.801.00
Form trend-0.100.30
Season points per game1.001.50
Season goals for / game1.001.50
Season goals against / game1.001.50
Rest days1717
Head-to-head (last 10)3 W4 W · 3 D
Port Vale: last 5
22 SepAChesterfield1 - 1D
19 SepAWalsall0 - 2L
19 SepAWalsall0 - 2L
12 SepHExeter1 - 0W
05 SepASalford0 - 1L
Mansfield: last 5
19 SepABurton2 - 2D
19 SepABurton2 - 2D
12 SepHHuddersfield0 - 0D
05 SepABradford0 - 1L
02 SepAReading0 - 5L
Head to head
17 Jan 2026Mansfield3 - 0Port Vale
20 Sep 2025Port Vale2 - 1Mansfield
15 Mar 2022Port Vale3 - 1Mansfield
19 Oct 2021Mansfield1 - 1Port Vale
08 May 2021Port Vale0 - 3Mansfield
02 Jan 2021Mansfield4 - 0Port Vale
26 Dec 2019Mansfield2 - 2Port Vale
21 Sep 2019Port Vale2 - 2Mansfield
09 Mar 2019Port Vale2 - 1Mansfield
17 Nov 2018Mansfield1 - 0Port Vale
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away2.5040.0%06 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw3.7027.0%06 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home2.5040.0%06 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.5564.5%06 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under2.4041.7%06 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 17:10 UTC