| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 63.2% | 83% | -20.1% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 23.0% | 77.0% |
| logistic | 44.4% | 55.6% |
| markov | abstained: no serve/return ratings for this match | |
| Carolina Alves | Julia Grabher | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1463 | 1504 |
| Surface Elo | 1463 | 1504 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | 0.60 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 2.25 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 9 | 11 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 18 Oct | H | Alena Kovackova | 0 - 2 | L |
| 16 Oct | A | Gala Ivanovic | 2 - 0 | W |
| 13 Oct | A | Daniella Dimitrova | 2 - 1 | W |
| 08 Oct | H | Luisina Giovannini | 0 - 2 | L |
| 07 Oct | H | Glushkova, D | 2 - 0 | W |
| 16 Oct | H | Geerlings Martinez, Ariana | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | H | Deborah Chiesa | 2 - 1 | W |
| 05 Oct | A | Dalma Galfi | 0 - 2 | L |
| 27 Sep | A | Guiomar Maristany Zuleta De Reales | 2 - 0 | W |
| 26 Sep | H | Oksana Selekhmeteva | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.20 | 83.3% | 27 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 4.15 | 24.1% | 27 Oct 06:15 |