| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 78.7% | 88% | -9.0% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 72.8% | 27.2% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 88.1% | 11.9% |
| logistic | 81.8% | 18.2% |
| Alejandro Moro Canas | Mae Malige | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1607 | 1475 |
| Surface Elo | 1607 | 1475 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.00 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 2.40 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.40 | 1.30 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.60 | 1.30 |
| Rest days | 16 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 19 Oct | A | Thiago Monteiro | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | H | Thiago Monteiro | 0 - 2 | L |
| 13 Oct | A | Tristan Boyer | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | H | Tristan Boyer | 0 - 2 | L |
| 10 Oct | A | Jonas Forejtek | 1 - 2 | L |
| 04 Nov | A | Fnu Nidunjianzan | 2 - 0 | W |
| 28 Oct | H | Roan Jones | 1 - 2 | L |
| 27 Oct | A | Henry Searle | 2 - 1 | W |
| 22 Oct | A | Adrien Gobat | 1 - 2 | L |
| 20 Oct | A | Guillaume Dalmasso | 2 - 1 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 5.00 | 20.0% | 05 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.14 | 87.7% | 05 Nov 06:15 |