| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 64.8% | 74% | -8.7% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 66.8% | 33.2% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 70.0% | 29.9% |
| logistic | 63.2% | 36.8% |
| Paula Badosa | Antonia Ruzic | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1645 | 1534 |
| Surface Elo | 1645 | 1534 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 2.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.33 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 16 | 4 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 19 Oct | A | Antonia Ruzic | 1 - 2 | L |
| 03 Oct | A | Jelena Ostapenko | 0 - 2 | L |
| 01 Oct | H | Daria Kasatkina | 2 - 1 | W |
| 30 Sep | A | Jelena Ostapenko | 0 - 2 | L |
| 30 Sep | A | Daria Kasatkina | 2 - 1 | W |
| 19 Oct | H | Katie Boulter | 1 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | H | Kayla Day | 1 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | H | Paula Badosa | 2 - 1 | W |
| 15 Oct | H | Bianca Andreescu | 1 - 2 | L |
| 13 Oct | H | Anna Siskova | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct 2026 | Antonia Ruzic | 2 - 1 | Paula Badosa |
| 25 Sep 2025 | Antonia Ruzic | 0 - 2 | Paula Badosa |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.40 | 29.4% | 19 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.34 | 74.6% | 19 Oct 06:15 |