| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 56.5% | 75% | -18.1% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 56.0% | 44.0% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 63.8% | 36.2% |
| logistic | 47.6% | 52.4% |
| Gabi Adrian Boitan | Vadym Ursu | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1529 | 1387 |
| Surface Elo | 1529 | 1387 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 706 | 13 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 14 Oct | A | Alexis Galarneau | 0 - 2 | L |
| 07 Oct | H | Ryan Seggerman | 0 - 2 | L |
| 30 Sep | A | Christian Langmo | 1 - 2 | L |
| 30 Sep | H | Nicholas Godsick | 2 - 1 | W |
| 23 Sep | A | Ernesto Escobedo | 0 - 2 | L |
| 07 Sep | A | Dimitar Kuzmanov | 0 - 2 | L |
| 07 Sep | A | August Holmgren | 2 - 0 | W |
| 10 Aug | A | Manas Dhamne | 0 - 2 | L |
| 03 Aug | A | Tiago Pereira | 1 - 2 | L |
| 27 Jul | A | Kenta Miyoshi | 0 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.10 | 32.3% | 20 Sep 06:16 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.34 | 74.6% | 20 Sep 06:16 |