| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 50.6% | 51% | -0.2% | |
| DC | Home or away | 76.0% | 82% | -5.5% | |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 65.5% | 68% | -2.1% | |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58.8% | 63% | -4.1% | |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 53.1% | no line |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 46.2% | 24.5% | 29.3% |
| xgboost | 55.0% | 22.8% | 22.2% |
| logistic | 47.3% | 26.0% | 26.7% |
| Dumbarton | Annan Athletic | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1337 | 1267 |
| Surface Elo | 1337 | 1267 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.40 | 0.00 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.67 | 0.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.67 | 0.83 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 2.83 |
| Rest days | 7 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 4 W | 5 W · 1 D |
| 07 Nov | A | Elgin | 2 - 0 | W |
| 07 Nov | A | Elgin | 2 - 0 | W |
| 31 Oct | A | Edinburgh City | 1 - 2 | L |
| 31 Oct | A | Edinburgh City | 1 - 2 | L |
| 17 Oct | H | Stirling | 1 - 1 | D |
| 07 Nov | H | Kelty Hearts | 1 - 2 | L |
| 07 Nov | H | Kelty Hearts | 1 - 2 | L |
| 03 Nov | H | Ayr | 0 - 2 | L |
| 31 Oct | A | Spartans | 2 - 3 | L |
| 31 Oct | A | Spartans | 2 - 3 | L |
| 29 Aug 2026 | Annan Athletic | 2 - 0 | Dumbarton |
| 21 Mar 2026 | Dumbarton | 2 - 1 | Annan Athletic |
| 10 Feb 2026 | Annan Athletic | 1 - 0 | Dumbarton |
| 08 Nov 2025 | Dumbarton | 2 - 1 | Annan Athletic |
| 23 Aug 2025 | Annan Athletic | 3 - 4 | Dumbarton |
| 26 Apr 2025 | Dumbarton | 3 - 1 | Annan Athletic |
| 08 Feb 2025 | Annan Athletic | 2 - 1 | Dumbarton |
| 14 Dec 2024 | Dumbarton | 1 - 5 | Annan Athletic |
| 14 Sep 2024 | Annan Athletic | 1 - 1 | Dumbarton |
| 08 Apr 2023 | Annan Athletic | 3 - 1 | Dumbarton |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.25 | 30.8% | 12 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.70 | 27.0% | 12 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.97 | 50.8% | 12 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.59 | 62.9% | 12 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.20 | 45.5% | 12 Nov 06:15 |