| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 67.7% | 79% | -11.7% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 38.3% | 61.7% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 18.4% | 81.6% |
| logistic | 33.7% | 66.3% |
| Tom Paris | Borna Gojo | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1527 | 1741 |
| Surface Elo | 1527 | 1741 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | 0.90 |
| Season points per game | 2.00 | 1.88 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.33 | 1.38 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.83 | 0.75 |
| Rest days | 1 | 4 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 26 Oct | A | Kilian Feldbausch | 2 - 0 | W |
| 25 Oct | H | Romain Faucon | 2 - 1 | W |
| 20 Oct | A | Maximilian Marterer | 0 - 2 | L |
| 13 Oct | A | Ugo Blanchet | 0 - 1 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | Lucas Poullain | 2 - 0 | W |
| 22 Oct | H | Daniel Altmaier | 0 - 2 | L |
| 22 Oct | H | Daniel Altmaier | 0 - 2 | L |
| 20 Oct | A | Arthur Fery | 2 - 0 | W |
| 20 Oct | A | Dillon Beckles | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | A | Vitaliy Sachko | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.26 | 79.4% | 27 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.60 | 27.8% | 27 Oct 06:15 |