| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 55.6% | 71% | -15.3% |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 50.8% | 49.2% |
| logistic | 61.1% | 38.9% |
| markov | abstained: unknown match format (best_of=0) | |
| Taylor Fritz | Denis Shapovalov | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1979 | 1887 |
| Surface Elo | 1979 | 1887 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 5 W | 5 W 路 0 D |
| 28 Oct | H | Rinky Hijikata | 2 - 0 | W |
| 26 Oct | H | Stefanos Tsitsipas | 1 - 2 | L |
| 25 Oct | A | Lorenzo Musetti | 0 - 2 | L |
| 25 Oct | A | Lorenzo Musetti | 0 - 2 | L |
| 24 Oct | A | Tommy Paul | 1 - 0 | W |
| 28 Oct | A | Remy Bertola | 2 - 0 | W |
| 04 Oct | A | Carlos Alcaraz | 0 - 1 | L |
| 03 Oct | H | Alejandro Tabilo | 2 - 1 | W |
| 03 Oct | A | Alejandro Tabilo | 2 - 1 | W |
| 01 Oct | H | Sho Shimabukuro | 2 - 0 | W |
| 17 Mar 2025 | Denis Shapovalov | 0 - 2 | Taylor Fritz |
| 03 Feb 2025 | Denis Shapovalov | 2 - 1 | Taylor Fritz |
| 20 Mar 2023 | Denis Shapovalov | 0 - 2 | Taylor Fritz |
| 27 Feb 2023 | Denis Shapovalov | 0 - 2 | Taylor Fritz |
| 24 Oct 2022 | Denis Shapovalov | 2 - 1 | Taylor Fritz |
| 03 Oct 2022 | Denis Shapovalov | 1 - 2 | Taylor Fritz |
| 27 Sep 2021 | Denis Shapovalov | 2 - 0 | Taylor Fritz |
| 08 Mar 2021 | Denis Shapovalov | 1 - 2 | Taylor Fritz |
| 31 Aug 2020 | Denis Shapovalov | 3 - 2 | Taylor Fritz |
| 19 Feb 2018 | Denis Shapovalov | 2 - 0 | Taylor Fritz |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | h2h | Denis Shapovalov | 2.92 | 34.2% | 29 Oct 06:01 |
| 1xBet | h2h | Taylor Fritz | 1.43 | 69.9% | 29 Oct 06:01 |
| 888sport | h2h | Denis Shapovalov | 2.75 | 36.4% | 29 Oct 06:01 |
| 888sport | h2h | Taylor Fritz | 1.44 | 69.4% | 29 Oct 06:01 |
| Betclic (FR) | h2h | Denis Shapovalov | 2.85 | 35.1% | 29 Oct 06:01 |
| Betclic (FR) | h2h | Taylor Fritz | 1.39 | 71.9% | 29 Oct 06:01 |
| Betfair sharp | h2h | Denis Shapovalov | 3.05 | 32.8% | 29 Oct 06:01 |
| Betfair sharp | h2h | Taylor Fritz | 1.46 | 68.5% | 29 Oct 06:01 |
| Betfair sharp | h2h_lay | Denis Shapovalov | 3.15 | 31.8% | 29 Oct 06:01 |
| Betfair sharp | h2h_lay | Taylor Fritz | 1.49 | 67.1% | 29 Oct 06:01 |
| BetOnline.ag | h2h | Denis Shapovalov | 2.93 | 34.1% | 29 Oct 06:01 |
| BetOnline.ag | h2h | Taylor Fritz | 1.42 | 70.4% | 29 Oct 06:01 |
| Betsson | h2h | Denis Shapovalov | 2.90 | 34.5% | 29 Oct 06:01 |
| Betsson | h2h | Taylor Fritz | 1.39 | 71.9% | 29 Oct 06:01 |
| Coolbet | h2h | Denis Shapovalov | 2.93 | 34.1% | 29 Oct 06:01 |
| Coolbet | h2h | Taylor Fritz | 1.41 | 70.9% | 29 Oct 06:01 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | h2h | Denis Shapovalov | 2.85 | 35.1% | 29 Oct 06:01 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | h2h | Taylor Fritz | 1.42 | 70.4% | 29 Oct 06:01 |
| Marathon Bet | h2h | Denis Shapovalov | 2.88 | 34.7% | 29 Oct 06:01 |
| Marathon Bet | h2h | Taylor Fritz | 1.41 | 70.9% | 29 Oct 06:01 |
| Matchbook | h2h | Denis Shapovalov | 3.05 | 32.8% | 29 Oct 06:01 |
| Matchbook | h2h | Taylor Fritz | 1.46 | 68.5% | 29 Oct 06:01 |
| Matchbook | h2h_lay | Denis Shapovalov | 3.15 | 31.8% | 29 Oct 06:01 |
| Matchbook | h2h_lay | Taylor Fritz | 1.49 | 67.1% | 29 Oct 06:01 |
| Nordic Bet | h2h | Denis Shapovalov | 2.90 | 34.5% | 29 Oct 06:01 |
| Nordic Bet | h2h | Taylor Fritz | 1.39 | 71.9% | 29 Oct 06:01 |
| Pinnacle sharp | h2h | Denis Shapovalov | 2.99 | 33.4% | 29 Oct 06:01 |
| Pinnacle sharp | h2h | Taylor Fritz | 1.44 | 69.4% | 29 Oct 06:01 |
| PMU (FR) | h2h | Denis Shapovalov | 2.70 | 37.0% | 29 Oct 06:01 |
| PMU (FR) | h2h | Taylor Fritz | 1.36 | 73.5% | 29 Oct 06:01 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.00 | 33.3% | 29 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.41 | 70.9% | 29 Oct 06:15 |
| Tipico | h2h | Denis Shapovalov | 2.95 | 33.9% | 29 Oct 06:01 |
| Tipico | h2h | Taylor Fritz | 1.35 | 74.1% | 29 Oct 06:01 |
| Unibet (FR) | h2h | Denis Shapovalov | 2.70 | 37.0% | 29 Oct 06:01 |
| Unibet (FR) | h2h | Taylor Fritz | 1.35 | 74.1% | 29 Oct 06:01 |
| Unibet (NL) | h2h | Denis Shapovalov | 2.85 | 35.1% | 29 Oct 06:01 |
| Unibet (NL) | h2h | Taylor Fritz | 1.42 | 70.4% | 29 Oct 06:01 |
| Unibet (SE) | h2h | Denis Shapovalov | 2.85 | 35.1% | 29 Oct 06:01 |
| Unibet (SE) | h2h | Taylor Fritz | 1.42 | 70.4% | 29 Oct 06:01 |
| William Hill | h2h | Denis Shapovalov | 2.75 | 36.4% | 29 Oct 06:01 |
| William Hill | h2h | Taylor Fritz | 1.44 | 69.4% | 29 Oct 06:01 |
| Winamax (DE) | h2h | Denis Shapovalov | 3.05 | 32.8% | 29 Oct 06:01 |
| Winamax (DE) | h2h | Taylor Fritz | 1.42 | 70.4% | 29 Oct 06:01 |
| Winamax (FR) | h2h | Denis Shapovalov | 2.85 | 35.1% | 29 Oct 06:01 |
| Winamax (FR) | h2h | Taylor Fritz | 1.38 | 72.5% | 29 Oct 06:01 |