| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 62.7% | 74% | -11.3% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 38.3% | 61.7% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 28.3% | 71.6% |
| logistic | 40.9% | 59.1% |
| Luca Van Assche | Learner Tien | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1805 | 1918 |
| Surface Elo | 1805 | 1918 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.40 | 1.33 |
| Rest days | 3 | 14 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 23 Oct | H | Lorenzo Musetti | 1 - 2 | L |
| 23 Oct | A | Lorenzo Musetti | 1 - 2 | L |
| 22 Oct | A | Valentin Vacherot | 2 - 1 | W |
| 22 Oct | H | Valentin Vacherot | 2 - 1 | W |
| 20 Oct | H | Clement Tabur | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Casper Ruud | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | Casper Ruud | 0 - 2 | L |
| 10 Oct | H | Zachary Svajda | 2 - 0 | W |
| 10 Oct | H | Zachary Svajda | 2 - 0 | W |
| 01 Oct | H | Hubert Hurkacz | 1 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.35 | 74.1% | 25 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.35 | 29.8% | 25 Oct 06:15 |