| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 53.8% | 72% | -18.4% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or draw | 81.3% | 91% | -9.9% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 73.8% | 88% | -14.3% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.2% | 66% | -11.1% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 57.3% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 48.7% | 25.6% | 25.7% |
| xgboost | 57.6% | 23.6% | 18.8% |
| logistic | 54.0% | 34.3% | 11.6% |
| Mansfield | Macclesfield | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1538 | 1395 |
| Surface Elo | 1538 | 1395 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.60 | 0.20 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | 0.10 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.67 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 3 | 2436 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 0 W · 2 D |
| 03 Nov | A | Wigan | 0 - 0 | D |
| 03 Nov | A | Wigan | 0 - 0 | D |
| 31 Oct | H | Notts County | 0 - 2 | L |
| 31 Oct | H | Notts County | 0 - 2 | L |
| 24 Oct | A | Blackpool | 4 - 1 | W |
| 31 Oct | A | Bedford Town Football Club | 3 - 0 | W |
| 24 Oct | H | Hereford FC | 1 - 2 | L |
| 20 Oct | A | Anstey Nomads | 3 - 0 | W |
| 10 Oct | H | South Shields | 4 - 3 | W |
| 06 Oct | A | Scarborough Athletic | 1 - 1 | D |
| 16 Nov 2019 | Macclesfield | 0 - 0 | Mansfield |
| 02 Feb 2019 | Mansfield | 3 - 1 | Macclesfield |
| 25 Aug 2018 | Macclesfield | 1 - 1 | Mansfield |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 7.30 | 13.7% | 07 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 5.30 | 18.9% | 07 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.38 | 72.5% | 07 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.51 | 66.2% | 07 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.50 | 40.0% | 07 Nov 06:15 |